NFL Week 8 Football Betting Odds, Trends & Predictions


Oct 2015

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NFL Week 8 Betting Odds, Trends & Predictions

Through the first seven weeks of the NFL season the underdogs have had a decided edge when it comes to covering against the spread with a 54.9 winning percentage. As far as betting the total line, the OVER has paid-off in 52.5 percent of the games. Heading into a new month of picks for, I will put both of these trends to the test based on this Sunday’s NFL betting odds from BetOnline.

Sunday, Nov. 1                                                                          

New York Giants at New Orleans Saints (OVER 49)

The Giants moved to 4-3 straight-up on the year and to the top of the NFC East with last week’s 27-20 victory against Dallas as three-point home favorites. While they continually shot themselves in the foot in those three losses with turnovers, costly penalties and poor game management, this is still a team that can be extremely explosive on offense when quarterback Eli Manning brings his A-Game to the table.

New Orleans has bounced back from a dismal 0-3 start with four victories in its last four games. On the year, the Saints are ranked third in the NFL in passing and averaging 23 points a game, but their defense is 25th in the NFL in points allowed (26.4). Led by veteran quarterback Drew Brees, this is another team that can light things up when it is playing at its top form making the OVER in this matchup a very attractive play.

San Francisco 49ers (+9.5) at St. Louis Rams

It would be hard to find someone arguing against the fact that the 49ers are a bad team, but the question remains are they that bad to be such a heavy underdog against a division opponent that has lost 13 of the 14 meetings SU? San Francisco has clearly had the Rams’ number in recent years when it was a very good team and it still has enough talent on the roster to keep things close this time around.

St. Louis comes into this NFC West clash at 3-3 both SU and ATS following last Sunday’s 24-6 victory against Cleveland as a six-point home favorite. It was just the third time it covered ATS in its last 12 games. The Rams are 7-16-2 ATS in their last 25 home games against the 49ers and while they are clearly the better team in this matchup, I do not see them winning by more than the 9.5-point spread.

Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos (+3)

This is the marquee matchup of the day with the Packers coming off a bye at a perfect 6-0 with a profitable 5-1 record ATS. Green Bay has done just about everything right to start the season and heading into this game it is ranked fifth in the NFL in scoring with 27.3 points a game and first in points allowed (16.8). My concern is that the Packers have yet to face a team with a SU winning record. They failed to cover in their last outing with a tight 27-20 victory against San Diego as 10-point home favorites.

Denver is also 6-0 SU with a 4-1-1 record ATS, yet all anyone can talk about is Peyton Manning’s early struggles. There are quite a few NFL teams that would jump at the chance to have him as their starting quarterback. When you add in a dominating defense that is as good if not better than Green Bay, I am going to jump on the Broncos getting points at home ten out of ten times against any team they face.