Betting on the NFL Total Points

NFL Betting

Betting on the NFL has become a very large industry, where a lot of football fans have shown their passion through their betting. As most sports bettor should know and understand, there are three main methods of placing a bet, there is the money line, point spread, and the total points bet. These three are part of what is usually called the betting lines, so for anyone searching for these, they can locate them under the NFL Betting Lines at any online sportsbook.

There are different strategies that a bettor can use in order to increase their chances of determining the winning bet. We will go over a common and well proven method of accurately predicting whether the Total Points of any NFL matchup will be Over or Under the amount given at the sportsbook.

NFL Betting Lines

Sports bettors can find the total points bet at any online sportsbook, as it is part of the general betting lines for the NFL matchups. There is one key piece of information a bettor has to look for and keep in mind, and that is the given total points average.

The given total points average is what the sportsbooks determine what the average amount of total points will be scored during any particular NFL match. It is up to the bettor to determine whether the final total score will be above or below that given value; thus the Over and Under bets.

The bettor will wager on the Under bet if they believe the particular NFL match will end with less total points scored than what the sportsbook is stating. They will wager on the Over bet if they believe the match will end with more total points scored than what the sportsbook is stating. How will a sports bettor know whether or not a particular matchup is going to end with more or less points scored? That is what this easy to follow and use system is for.

The Total Points Scored System

This system is used to help a bettor more accurately predict and forecast how a particular NFL matchup is going to end; how many points each team will score. This is only one of many different systems that can be found and used, but this one is the most common and easiest to understand. The system gets more accurate as the season progresses, since there is much more data that can be used and compared in order to create a more accurate prediction. There is some different information needed in order to be able to use the system.

Necessary Information

In order for this system to give the sports bettor a more accurate prediction, the bettor will need to gather a few key pieces of information; different information for the Home team and the Away Team. The bettor would need to gather the average points scored and average points scored against for each team.

For the Home team, the bettor would need to gather the average points scored and the average points scored against while playing at home. Simply look up the matches they have had at home, and get the averages, ignore the rest of the information.

For the Away team, the bettor needs to gather the average points scored and the average points scored against while playing on the road. It will do the bettor no good to gather the average scores for the Away team while they were playing at home, as that wouldn’t be accurate.

After gathering the data, the bettor can now move on to calculating and using this given information in order to create an accurate prediction for the total points scored in a specific NFL matchup.

Calculating the Scores

Using the data or table that a bettor should already have in their possession, the next steps would be to calculate the minimum score, the maximum score, and then being able to find the predicted average total points scored.

Calculating the Minimum Score

The minimum score is the smallest amount of points that should be scored between these two specific NFL teams, at this given time during the NFL season. The way the sports bettor will calculate the minimum score is by taking the two smallest values from the data and/or table. In this case, it will be the Average Points Scored by the Away team, and the Average Points Scored Against by the Home team.

The bettor will simply add the two smallest values in order to get the minimum predicted score.

Calculating the Maximum Score

When the bettor wants to find the maximum predicted score, for the specific NFL matchup, they would need to use the two largest values that can be found in the data and/or table. In this case, the largest values are the Average Points Scored by the Home team and the Average Points Scored Against by the Away team.

Taking the two largest values and adding them together will show the bettor the maximum predicted score.

Calculating the Predicted Average

The predicted average in this case is the amount of total points predicted that the two NFL teams will score during this specific NFL matchup. Remember that this specific information is only useful during that particular matchup, as the data and average scores will change afterwards.

In order to calculate and find the predicted average, the sports bettor needs to use the minimum and the maximum predicted scores that were previously calculated.

The bettor needs to add both the minimum and the maximum predicted scores, and then divide by two in order to get the predicted average score for the NFL matchup.

Using the Predicted Average

A sports bettor could be wondering, “I have the predicted average, now what?” The next step is to simply compare the predicted average against the value given by the online sportsbook.

It will all depend on the sportsbook value. If the sportsbook value is showing a higher value than the predicted average, then the bettor would place the wager on the Under bet. However, if the sportsbook value is lower than the predicted average, the bettor would then place the wager on the Over bet.

NFL Matchup Example

The system looks simple and all to use in theory, so we will go over an actual NFL matchup and show you the desired steps. This particular matchup is between the Green Bay Packers playing at the Seattle Seahawks.

The Necessary Data

Minimum Score

Maximum Score

Predicted Average

Using the Predicted Average

The predicted average for this particular matchup may not be as accurate as it could be, since the NFL season is still starting out, but as the season progresses, the predicted average will get more and more accurate.

Sports bettors should remember that this system isn’t 100% accurate, and it is only for the purpose of providing a good way of predicting the final total score average, in order to determine whether to wager on the Under or Over bet.